Bitcoin found support near $11,120 and started an upward move against the US Dollar. However, BTC must break $11,650 and the 100 hourly SMA to start a fresh rally.

  • Bitcoin is slowly recovering from the $11,150 and $11,200 support levels.
  • The price is facing a couple of hurdles near the $11,600 and $11,650 levels.
  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $11,620 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair must clear the $11,650 resistance and the 100 hourly simple moving average to start a fresh rally.

Bitcoin Price is Facing Hurdles

Recently, we saw a sharp decline in bitcoin price below the $11,500 support level against the US Dollar. BTC even traded below the $11,200 support level and settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

A swing low was formed near $11,130 and the price started a slowly and steady recovery wave. It recovered above the $11,200 and $11,400 levels. There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $12,084 high to $11,130 low.

Bitcoin price even climbed above the $11,500 pivot level, but it is facing a strong resistance near $11,650. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $11,620 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin price trades above $11,200. Source: TradingView.com

The trend line is close to the 100 hourly SMA, which is preventing an upside break above the $11,650 level. The price is also struggling to close above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $12,084 high to $11,130 low.

If there is a successful break above the trend line, the 100 hourly SMA, and $11,650, the price is likely to start a strong rally. The next resistance is near the $11,800 level, above which the bulls are likely to aim more upsides above the $12,000 and $12,050 levels.

Fresh Decline in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the trend line, the 100 hourly SMA, and $11,650, then there are chances of a fresh decline. An initial support is seen near the $11,400 level.

The main support is now near the $11,120 level, below which there is a risk of a sharp decline below the $11,000 support. In the mentioned case, the price could even test $10,500 (as discussed in yesterday’s analysis using the daily chart).

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is about to move into the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently sliding below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $11,400, followed by $11,120.

Major Resistance Levels – $11,650, $11,800 and $12,000.

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